Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.001086 1.230961e-03 0.001376 0.001532 0.001695 0.001858 0.002034
2026-01-25 0.000820 1.026748e-03 0.001240 0.001475 0.001725 0.001982 0.002263
2026-02-01 0.000635 8.853812e-04 0.001153 0.001455 0.001782 0.002123 0.002501
2026-02-08 0.000501 7.851195e-04 0.001099 0.001461 0.001860 0.002281 0.002753
2026-02-15 0.000397 7.064344e-04 0.001060 0.001478 0.001944 0.002441 0.003002
2026-02-22 0.000317 6.460714e-04 0.001036 0.001505 0.002036 0.002605 0.003254
2026-03-01 0.000231 5.674191e-04 0.000984 0.001495 0.002082 0.002717 0.003445
2026-03-08 0.000150 4.812184e-04 0.000915 0.001461 0.002097 0.002791 0.003591
2026-03-15 0.000102 4.324796e-04 0.000888 0.001473 0.002160 0.002916 0.003792
2026-03-22 0.000057 3.765188e-04 0.000847 0.001464 0.002198 0.003011 0.003956
2026-03-29 0.000032 3.451332e-04 0.000835 0.001489 0.002272 0.003144 0.004161
2026-04-05 0.000009 3.029875e-04 0.000805 0.001488 0.002315 0.003241 0.004325
2026-04-12 NaN 2.443637e-04 0.000758 0.001482 0.002371 0.003372 0.004551
2026-04-19 NaN 1.648970e-04 0.000671 0.001420 0.002359 0.003429 0.004696
2026-04-26 NaN 1.126949e-04 0.000615 0.001397 0.002392 0.003535 0.004896
2026-05-03 NaN 7.845049e-05 0.000582 0.001401 0.002457 0.003678 0.005136
2026-05-10 NaN 5.321477e-05 0.000559 0.001415 0.002534 0.003833 0.005391
2026-05-17 NaN 3.543242e-05 0.000545 0.001442 0.002623 0.004003 0.005660
2026-05-24 NaN 1.405274e-05 0.000507 0.001431 0.002666 0.004116 0.005864
2026-05-31 NaN 9.158588e-08 0.000456 0.001398 0.002677 0.004191 0.006023
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000437 0.001409 0.002744 0.004329 0.006253
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000405 0.001400 0.002783 0.004435 0.006445
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000396 0.001424 0.002864 0.004588 0.006690